LIQUID LABOR

The Embodied Productivity Race of the 2020s

My Research Essays on the U.S.–China Contest for the Time Bank of Machines

Introduction — The Time Bank of Machines

Labor is being redefined.

Not just the human effort bought by wages — but a new asset class of embodied robot-hours, leased, redeployed, and compounded like capital. Imagine a time bank in which every robotic hour deposited today yields more autonomous hours tomorrow, producing a compounding balance of machine labor.

We've long measured the digital explosion — exponential compute, data, and intelligence. Yet the true revolution may lie not in cognition, but in embodiment — the physical realization of work.

The next decade will be defined by which nation can convert robotic hours into capital and output most efficiently.

China, with its manufacturing density and energy abundance, already sits near the inflection point. The United States, constrained by energy ceilings and fractured supply chains, must rely on software, finance, and high-leverage policy to keep pace.

This essay introduces two scalar metrics — the Unified Labor Index (ULI) and the Embodied Productivity Index (EPI) — to quantify this shift, models the logistic "inflection curve" of embodied growth, and argues that the 2020s will be remembered as the decade of Liquid Labor: a global race to transform time itself into capital.


Table of Contents

Next post in series:
Chapter I — From Compute to Actuators